The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …

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Jan 13, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight is tracking which senators and representatives agree and disagree most with Donald Trump.

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …

The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then …

The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then …

The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then …

Lite What Election Day looks like based on polls alone Classic What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more Deluxe What Election Day looks like when …

Aug 30, 2022 · Plus-minus is derived from our Robust Algorithm using Player Tracking and On-off Ratings (RAPTOR), a measure of the number of points per 100 possessions that a player …